We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Stockport County
With Barry at the focal point of their attack, Stockport have a serious chance of causing an upset in the Second City on Wednesday night.
That being said, Birmingham have returned to form recently and will be desperate to put on a convincing performance in front of a packed-out home crowd.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.