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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham logo

Barnsley
1 - 2
Birmingham

Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 0-1 Birmingham City

In the midst of a five-game winless run, Barnsley will not be looking forward to the visit of promotion contenders Birmingham on Saturday afternoon. Blues' attack is set to be blunted by the absence of Anderson, but we feel that the visitors should manage to grind out a narrow victory in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
27.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 47.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.164 -0.16)47.62% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.152 -0.15)69.82% (0.152 0.15)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.134 -0.13)31.18% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.157 -0.16)67.51% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)20.06% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)52.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 27.67%
    Birmingham City 47.59%
    Draw 24.72%
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Birmingham

Barnsley
23.3%
Draw
16.7%
Birmingham City
60.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham21154237162149
2Wrexham23146335161948
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe22145347242347
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield22134536191743
5Stockport CountyStockport23107635241137
6Reading2211473632437
7Barnsley2310673432236
8Bolton WanderersBolton2110473231134
9Charlton AthleticCharlton229672721633
10Leyton Orient229492820831
11Mansfield TownMansfield219482724331
12Lincoln CityLincoln238782829-131
13Exeter CityExeter229492627-131
14Stevenage218581820-229
15Blackpool227783033-328
16Wigan AthleticWigan227692120127
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham216692023-324
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2273123943-424
19Northampton TownNorthampton2357112339-1622
20Bristol Rovers2264121935-1622
21Crawley TownCrawley2255122440-1620
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2245132139-1817
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2244142342-1916
24Burton Albion2227131835-1713


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