Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 77.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (2.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.