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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
31.26% ( -0.02) | 26.17% ( -0) | 42.57% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.5% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( 0) | 51.86% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( 0) | 73.62% ( -0) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( -0.01) | 30.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% ( -0.01) | 67.04% ( 0.01) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( 0.01) | 24.16% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( 0.02) | 58.48% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |