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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Grimsby Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Grimsby Town

Lavelle (12'), Sadi (27')
Vela (55'), Sadi (58'), Barclay (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barrington (24'), Cass (81'), Rodgers (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
36.96% (0.143 0.14) 26.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 36.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.135 0.13)50.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.119 0.12)72.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.146 0.15)26.58% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.192 0.19)61.8% (-0.188 -0.19)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.96%
    Grimsby Town 36.93%
    Draw 26.1%
Carlisle UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-0
Grimsby Town
McCalmont (36'), Gibson (44')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Grimsby Town
1-2
Carlisle
Efete (65')
Moxon (7'), Dennis (44')
> Preview
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
1-1
Grimsby Town
Zanzala (90+3')
Hayden (31')
John-Lewis (16')
Coke (55')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
1-1
Carlisle
Pollock (24')
Taylor (37'), Waterfall (76'), Starbuck (82'), Pollock (90+3')
McKeown (46' og.)
Anderton (18')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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