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Sunderland
EFL Trophy | Final
Mar 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Sunderland
1 - 0
Tranmere

Gooch (57')
Power (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

The Black Cats saw off Tranmere for their first victory in their last nine finals at the national stadium.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawTranmere Rovers
52.79%24.91%22.3%
Both teams to score 49.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24%52.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61%74.39%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03%19.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87%52.13%
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41%38.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67%75.32%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 52.79%
    Tranmere Rovers 22.3%
    Draw 24.9%
SunderlandDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.49%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Tranmere

Sunderland
100%
Draw
0.0%
Tranmere Rovers
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Tranmere
0-1
Sunderland

Monthe (74'), Wilson (77'), Jennings (90')
Monthe (84')
Wyke (60')
Dobson (24'), Lynch (48'), Maguire (88')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Sunderland
5-0
Tranmere
Watmore (24'), Maguire (26'), Gooch (39'), Grigg (83'), O'Nien (90')
Dobson (10')

Ray (25'), Payne (40')
rhs 2.0
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