Sunderland

1 - 0

Swindon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.