We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-0 Accrington Stanley
Before the weekend, Accrington's previous win came against Tranmere at the end of April, and Stanley's defence have still not kept a clean sheet in 16 matches.
Therefore, Rovers should secure their first points of the campaign, keeping them in the hunt for a place in the knockout phase.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.