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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Accrington
0 - 1
Crewe


Kelly (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Williams (85')
Lankester (70'), Knight-Lebel (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Accrington
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.03% (0.125 0.13) 23.87% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 47.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 58.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.96% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.36% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.094999999999999 0.09)27.81% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.11799999999999 0.12)63.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.58% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)18.42% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.42% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)49.59% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 29.03%
    Crewe Alexandra 47.1%
    Draw 23.87%
Accrington StanleyDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.03%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 9.38% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 47.1%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Accrington
0-0
Crewe
Henderson (11'), Martin (57')
Nevitt (90+1')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crewe
3-3
Accrington
Rowe (4'), Demetriou (29'), Nevitt (90+8')
Tracey (45'), Thomas (51'), Nevitt (90+9')
Offord (80')
Nolan (6'), Woods (87'), Woods (90+6')
Martin (71'), Hills (90+9')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Accrington
4-1
Crewe
Sykes (12', 60'), Leigh (51'), McConville (64')
Butcher (29'), Sykes (90+4')
Agyei (90+3')
Agyei (16'), Johnson (63'), Alebiousu (67')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crewe
0-1
Accrington

Offord (55'), Murphy (56'), Ramsay (78'), Finney (87')
Offord (89')
Nottingham (17')
Sykes (38'), Pell (50'), Trafford (62'), Charles (68'), Mumbongo (90+7'), Bishop (90+7')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Crewe
2-0
Accrington
Beckles (32'), Porter (79')
Lowery (45+1')

Hughes (70')
Rodgers (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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