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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
43.97% ( -4.57) | 26.93% ( 0.69) | 29.1% ( 3.89) |
Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.3% ( -0.36) | 55.71% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( -0.3) | 76.85% ( 0.3) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -2.34) | 25.17% ( 2.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -3.34) | 59.89% ( 3.34) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.67% ( 2.99) | 34.33% ( -2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.97% ( 3.07) | 71.03% ( -3.07) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.66) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -1.07) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.79) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.8) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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