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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Notts County
2 - 0
Accrington

McGoldrick (18', 67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Walton (16'), Awe (19'), Love (45+1'), Batty (63'), Quirk (65'), Whalley (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Notts County
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Accrington 1-4 Stockport
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Notts County 3-1 Accrington Stanley

 Notts County may have won just one of their last eight league meetings with Accrington, failing to keep a single clean sheet during this run, but they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in Saturday's contest. Accrington have shown signs of promise going forward in stages of games this term, but they have lost each of their last five away league games, conceding 17 goals in the process, and they may struggle to keep the hosts quiet at Meadow Lane. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
55.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26) 20.84% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.46% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 64.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.59% (-0.194 -0.19)33.41% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.8% (-0.22 -0.22)55.19% (0.221 0.22)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.136 -0.14)12.09% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (-0.288 -0.29)37.63% (0.289 0.29)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.030999999999992 0.03)26.81% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.041000000000004 0.04)62.1% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 55.7%
    Accrington Stanley 23.46%
    Draw 20.84%
Notts CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 9.01% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.24% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.84%
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Notts County vs Accrington

Notts County
89.7%
Draw
6.9%
Accrington Stanley
3.4%
29
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Accrington
2-2
Notts County
Whalley (17'), Nolan (79' pen.)
O'Brien (46'), Hills (90+6')
O'Brien (4'), Jatta (45')
Baldwin (71')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Notts County
3-1
Accrington
Crowley (7'), Langstaff (64', 90')
Jones (22'), Nemane (61'), Adebayo-Rowling (90+5'), Brindley (90+5')
Andrews (27')
Leigh (74'), Conneely (86')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Notts County
Hughes (9')
Aug 25, 2017 7.45pm
Notts County
2-2
Accrington
Stead (33' pen.), Grant (54')
Duffy (58'), Hewitt (63'), Tootle (91')
Tootle (91')
Hughes (58'), Wilks (95')
Donacien (65'), Wilks (92')
Leacock-McLeod (66')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-0
Notts County
Rodgers (45'), Husin (80')

Ameobi (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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