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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
41.3% ( -0.01) | 24.92% ( 0) | 33.78% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% ( -0.01) | 45.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% ( -0.01) | 68.05% ( 0.01) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.01) | 55.47% ( 0.01) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0) | 26.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0) | 61.2% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.31% Total : 33.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |