Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.