MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 04:19:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
1 - 1
AZ

Sandra (90+1')
Lamprou (7'), Baas (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lahdo (72')
de Wit (25'), Bazoer (68'), Moller Wolfe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ have been scoring for fun all season long and we are backing them to enjoy another field day in front of goal. We are also backing this weekend's visitors to carry the day in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.04% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 21.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 57.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.23% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)61.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)32.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)68.77% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)13.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.43% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 21.04%
    AZ Alkmaar 57.52%
    Draw 21.45%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.58% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.74% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 57.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
4.8%
Draw
4.8%
AZ Alkmaar
90.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 21
AZ
5-0
Excelsior
Mijnans (20', 30'), Karlsson (27'), Odgaard (35'), Pavlidis (38')
Oct 23, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 11
Excelsior
2-1
AZ
Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Sugawara (48')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
Gameweek 16
AZ
2-1
Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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