Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Astana had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Astana win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
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