We said: Hearts 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir
Having been drawn in a difficult group, Hearts must take advantage of their home fixtures if they want to have a realistic chance of progression. However, they are probably facing Istanbul at the wrong time, and we feel that the visitors will prevail in comfortable fashion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.