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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Roma logo
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 0
Bodo/Glimt

Abraham (5'), Zaniolo (23', 29', 49')
Mancini (54')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Bodo/Glimt

Last Six:
Last Game: Molde 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Kristiansund vs. Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, June 18 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Roma 2-1 Bodo/Glimt (Roma win on penalties)

 This four-part epic battle between two unlikely opponents will conclude on Italian soil, which gives the hosts a slight edge in this second leg. Up against well-organised visitors with nothing to lose, the Giallorossi are set to come under intense pressure, but possessing sufficient firepower to score twice, they should take the tie into extra time and even penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawBodo/Glimt
56.02%25.26%18.72%
Both teams to score 43.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.13%57.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.41%78.58%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31%20.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72%53.28%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.61%45.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76%81.24%
Score Analysis
    Roma 56.02%
    Bodo/Glimt 18.72%
    Draw 25.25%
RomaDrawBodo/Glimt
1-0 @ 14.79%
2-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.84%
4-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 56.02%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 9.39%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.42%
1-2 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 18.72%

How you voted: Roma vs Bodo/Glimt

Roma
73.6%
Draw
6.9%
Bodo/Glimt
19.5%
159
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2022 8pm
Bodo/Glimt
2-1
Roma
Saltnes (56'), Vetlesen (89')
Pellegrini (43')
Cristante (18'), Vina (88')
Nov 4, 2021 8pm
Group C
Roma
2-2
Bodo/Glimt
El Shaarawy (54'), Ibanez (84')
Cristante (75'), Ibanez (78')
Solbakken (45+1'), Botheim (65')
Haikin (75'), Solbakken (80'), Moe (87')
Oct 21, 2021 5.45pm
Group C
Bodo/Glimt
6-1
Roma
Botheim (8', 52', 80'), Berg (20'), Solbakken (71'), Pellegrino (78')
Lode (37')
Perez (28')
Darboe (33')
rhs 2.0
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