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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 7, 2022 at 8pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Roma logo

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
Roma

Saltnes (56'), Vetlesen (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pellegrini (43')
Cristante (18'), Vina (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

Last Six:
Last Game: Molde 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Next Game: Kristiansund vs. Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, June 18 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Roma

 Bitter experience will tell Roma that they should avoid taking progress for granted against Glimt, but their improved defensive resilience and a settled side now puts them in better shape to succeed. While the hosts will surely find the net at some point, the Giallorossi can make their greater continental experience pay at this later stage of Europe's newest club competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Roma had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawRoma
45.36%23.88%30.76%
Both teams to score 59.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95%42.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54%64.45%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23%18.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83%50.16%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79%26.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69%61.3%
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 45.36%
    Roma 30.76%
    Draw 23.87%
Bodo/GlimtDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 45.36%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.87%
1-2 @ 7.38%
0-1 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.76%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Roma

Bodo/Glimt
34.7%
Draw
11.4%
Roma
53.8%
236
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2021 8pm
Group C
Roma
2-2
Bodo/Glimt
El Shaarawy (54'), Ibanez (84')
Cristante (75'), Ibanez (78')
Solbakken (45+1'), Botheim (65')
Haikin (75'), Solbakken (80'), Moe (87')
Oct 21, 2021 5.45pm
Group C
Bodo/Glimt
6-1
Roma
Botheim (8', 52', 80'), Berg (20'), Solbakken (71'), Pellegrino (78')
Lode (37')
Perez (28')
Darboe (33')
rhs 2.0
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