Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Braga2 - 1Malmo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Braga
Sunday, October 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 2-0 Malmo
Braga will be backing themselves to come away with maximum points as they take on a Malmo side who have lost each of their five games in the campaign. The Primeira Liga side appear to have hit their stride once again and we are tipping them to claim a third consecutive victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Malmo |
57.55% ( 0.07) | 24.38% ( -0.05) | 18.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.18) | 55.62% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( 0.15) | 76.78% ( -0.15) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.79% ( 0.09) | 19.21% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.1% ( 0.15) | 50.9% ( -0.16) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.16% ( 0.09) | 44.84% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.19% ( 0.07) | 80.8% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 57.54%
Malmo 18.07%
Draw 24.38%
| Braga | Draw | Malmo |
| 1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 57.54% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.07% |
How you voted: Braga vs Malmo
Braga
88.2%Draw
7.1%Malmo
4.7%127
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2022 5.45pm
