Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Vienna win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Genk had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.83%) and 1-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.