We said: Rigas Futbola Skola 1-1 APOEL
APOEL could struggle for periods considering their form has not been strong in recent matches, and it would not be surprising if they conceded first on Thursday.
However, RFS have never reached the group stage of the Europa League, and their lack of winning experience in these types of fixtures could see them head into the second leg on even terms.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for APOEL had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an APOEL win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.
