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Everton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 18
Apr 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Goodison Park
Leicester logo

Everton
1 - 1
Leicester

Richarlison (90+2')
Richarlison (75'), Mina (80'), Alli (86'), Rondon (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barnes (5')
Schmeichel (90+3'), Daka (90+4')

Preview: Everton vs. Leicester City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Everton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having enjoyed the rare luxury of a weekend off, Everton continue their fight for Premier League survival against Leicester City at Goodison Park on Wednesday evening.

The Toffees boosted their survival prospects with a 1-0 success over Manchester United last time out, while Brendan Rodgers's side went down 2-1 to Newcastle United.


Match preview

Everton manager Frank Lampard celebrates their first goal on April 9, 2022© Reuters

Only three days after coming out on the wrong end of the scoreline in their relegation six-pointer with Burnley, Frank Lampard's Everton could hardly have responded in better fashion when Ralf Rangnick's topsy-turvy Manchester United side came to town.

Anthony Gordon's deflected winner off Harry Maguire - who else - was enough to secure what could end up being a priceless win for the Toffees in their bid to stay afloat in the division, with every member of the XI playing their part defensively to preserve their side's slender advantage in the final moments.

Goodison Park erupted into delirium, with the home crowd fully aware that their side's survival destiny is now in their own hands heading into the business end of the season as Everton sit 17th in the rankings - three points clear of recent conquerors Burnley with a game in hand.

Meetings with Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal could yet be pivotal in Everton's bid to steer clear of danger - Lampard will likely already have one eye on the Merseyside derby on April 24 - but a new wave of confidence ought to overcome the Toffees ahead of Wednesday's encounter.

Victory over the Red Devils marked Everton's second top-flight win on the bounce at Goodison Park after a previous 1-0 success over Newcastle United, and Leicester are now travelling to a ground where Everton have won seven of their measly eight league fixtures this term.

 Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers acknowledges fans after the match on April 10, 2022© Reuters

Leicester are not the first team to feel the full effects of Bruno Guimaraes at Newcastle United, and they will probably not be the last, with the Brazilian lynchpin bringing Rodgers's side crashing back down to earth with both goals in a 2-1 success for the Magpies.

Granted, Leicester made a raft of expected changes after their successful endeavours in the Europa Conference League, and they did draw first blood through Ademola Lookman, but Guimaraes poked through Kasper Schmeichel's legs while on the ground for his equaliser before powering home a header five minutes into second-half stoppage time.

The Foxes' five-game unbeaten streak in all competitions came to an end at St James' Park, with that defeat all but killing off their hopes of challenging for Europe via their ninth-placed league position, but Rodgers is sure to prioritise continental glory in the Europa Conference League from here on in.

Rather alarmingly, only four sides have performed worse than Leicester away from home in the current Premier League season, with the Foxes winning just one of their last 10 in the top flight on unfamiliar territory and keeping just one clean sheet away from home all season.

Recent history does not favour Rodgers's men ahead of the trip to Goodison Park either, with Everton taking seven points from the last nine available in meetings with Leicester, who could only record a 1-1 draw on the blue half of Merseyside last season.

Everton Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Everton form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Leicester City Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Leicester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Everton's Alex Iwobi celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 17, 2022© Reuters

Everton boss Lampard should largely be working with the same crop of players who got the job done against Man United, with Andros Townsend, Tom Davies and Nathan Patterson still out of contention.

Yerry Mina and Donny van de Beek have had ample time to overcome their physical problems and could force their way into contention for Wednesday, but Lampard will be loath to make any changes to his starting XI.

Fabian Delph came in and did a terrific job in the engine room against Man United and deserves another start here, but Demarai Gray may be consigned to a spot on the bench against his former employers.

As far as Leicester are concerned, Rodgers also has a trio of long-term absentees working their way back in Wilfred Ndidi, Danny Ward and Ryan Bertrand, while Jamie Vardy is still on the comeback trail too.

Boubakary Soumare's muscle soreness did not let up in time for the meeting with Newcastle and he remains a doubt for this one, but Rodgers could bring some of his first-string players back into the XI either way.

James Maddison, Jonny Evans, Ricardo Pereira and Kelechi Iheanacho are among those who should be drafted back in, while Wesley Fofana also ought to return after enjoying a complete rest at the weekend.

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Keane, Godfrey, Mykolenko; Allan, Delph, Iwobi; Gordon, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Pereira, Evans, Fofana, Castagne; Tielemans, Dewsbury-Hall; Albrighton, Maddison, Barnes; Iheanacho


SM words green background

We say: Everton 1-2 Leicester City

We would certainly not put it past Everton to get something from this game, with the Toffees enjoying their best moments at home this term while Leicester flatter to deceive on the road.

Lampard has also been granted a lengthy period to gear his side up for this battle, and they will be full of confidence after getting the better of Man United, but the majority of Leicester's big-hitters are also well-rested from the weekend and will expect to edge a tight contest.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Everton vs Leicester

Everton
37.5%
Draw
17.1%
Leicester City
45.5%
299
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Yerry Mina scores their first goal on February 5, 2022
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7Aston Villa167452425-125
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9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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