Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockton Town win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Widnes had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Widnes win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockton Town would win this match.