Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Winchester City win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Tavistock had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Winchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Tavistock win was 2-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Winchester City would win this match.