MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 10:31:51| >> :60:99:99:
Benfica
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Brentford logo

Benfica
1 - 1
Brentford

Pavlidis (25')
Aursnes (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Benfica and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Almeria
Sunday, July 21 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-5 Brentford
Saturday, July 20 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Benfica 2-1 Brentford

While both sides remain weakened by international call-ups and summer holidays, Brentford may feel that the depleted Benfica defence is there for the taking, especially after the weekend's five-goal showing. The Portuguese side have also been on the attacking warpath this summer, though, and we still expect Schmidt's men to edge a closely-fought battle, albeit without a clean sheet to show for their efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 17.37% (0.044 0.04) 15.59% (0.071 0.07)
Both teams to score 63% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.05% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)28.94% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.09% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)49.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.96% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)8.04% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.7% (-0.104 -0.1)28.3% (0.105 0.11)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.49% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.042999999999999 0.04)67.88% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 67.04%
    Brentford 15.59%
    Draw 17.37%
BenficaDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 7.37% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 4.26% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2.92% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 15.59%

How you voted: Benfica vs Brentford

Benfica
56.8%
Draw
21.6%
Brentford
21.6%
37
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