MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:44:48| >> :60:71:71:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Nigeria national football team

Saudi Arabia
2 - 2
Nigeria

Al-Faraj (60'), Kanoo (90+10')
Alkhaibari (67'), Al-Dawsari (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al Amri (73' og.), Iheanacho (81')
Aribo (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Nigeria

The Super Eagles boast a plethora of attacking options and could potentially run riot against a Saudi defence who have struggled for clean sheets in recent months. We are backing Nigeria to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawNigeria
27.63% (-1.278 -1.28) 26.54% (-0.455 -0.45) 45.83% (1.734 1.73)
Both teams to score 49.4% (0.547 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.06% (1.082 1.08)54.93% (-1.079 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (0.885 0.89)76.22% (-0.884 -0.88)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.92% (-0.426 -0.43)35.07% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18% (-0.45 -0.45)71.82% (0.45299999999999 0.45)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (1.332 1.33)23.91% (-1.331 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (1.867 1.87)58.12% (-1.866 -1.87)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 27.63%
    Nigeria 45.84%
    Draw 26.53%
Saudi ArabiaDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.482 -0.48)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.63%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 8.39% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-2 @ 8.58% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.29% (0.258 0.26)
0-3 @ 4.09% (0.291 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.147 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 45.84%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Nigeria

Saudi Arabia
10.3%
Draw
17.2%
Nigeria
72.4%
29
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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