Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.