MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 07:44:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
1 - 1
Shonan Bellmare

Hosoya (27')
Diego (58')
Tatsuta (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ohno (90+3')
Yamamoto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-0 Reysol
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 4-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Shonan Bellmare

Shonan Bellmare are the only side in the Japanese top flight without a clean sheet so far, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing Kashiwa Reysol to narrowly edge out their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
44.88% (0.223 0.22) 26.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 28.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 49.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)55.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.63%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.10199999999999 0.1)24.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.148 0.15)59.09% (-0.157 -0.16)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (-0.163 -0.16)34.77% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (-0.174 -0.17)71.51% (0.16600000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 44.88%
    Shonan Bellmare 28.34%
    Draw 26.77%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 28.34%

How you voted: Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare

Kashiwa Reysol
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shonan Bellmare
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 11
Shonan Bellmare
1-2
Reysol
Sugioka (45+5')
Savio (28'), Hosoya (55')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Feb 19, 2022 6am
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Shonan Bellmare
2-4
Reysol
Machino (18'), Wellington (78')
Riuler (48')
Raul (50' pen., 90+12'), Ominami (90+3'), Da Silva (90+9')
Richardson (75'), Raul (82')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
Gameweek 2
Reysol
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Goya (14', 66')
Okamoto (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1592424111329
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers159242417729
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka157441411325
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus158161816225
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo156542117423
8FC Tokyo156542624223
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1457225141122
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol145631616021
11Avispa Fukuoka154741316-319
12Tokyo Verdy153932023-318
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki154472223-116
15Albirex Niigata154471823-516
16Jubilo Iwata154381922-315
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare153572027-714
19Consadole SapporoConsadole152581328-1511
20Kyoto Sanga1523101129-189


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