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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 at 8am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Cerezo

Izumi (21'), Maruyama (31'), Mateus (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 27 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
36.12% (-0.213 -0.21) 28.61% (0.416 0.42) 35.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-1.23 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.52% (-1.502 -1.5)60.48% (1.497 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4% (-1.148 -1.15)80.6% (1.144 1.14)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.898 -0.9)31.91% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-1.036 -1.04)68.36% (1.031 1.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)32.47% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-1.029 -1.03)68.99% (1.023 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.11%
    Cerezo Osaka 35.26%
    Draw 28.61%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5am
May 14, 2022 6am
gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Sento (6')
Nov 27, 2021 5am
gameweek 37
Cerezo
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Fujita (80'), Nishio (87')
Kakitani (67')
Nagasawa (77')
May 8, 2021 7am
gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Yoshida (66')
Yonemoto (70'), Kakitani (77')

Takagi (59')
Oct 10, 2020 6am
gameweek 34
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Mateus (90+1')
Abe (72')
rhs 2.0
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