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J1 League | Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2023 at 6am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 1
Hiroshima


Ceara (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vieira (90+3')
Vieira (90+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Reysol
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 22 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
28.88% (0.359 0.36) 26.19% (0.449 0.45) 44.93% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 51.21% (-1.162 -1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.03% (-1.613 -1.61)52.97% (1.617 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.43% (-1.389 -1.39)74.57% (1.394 1.39)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)33.06% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.641 -0.64)69.66% (0.645 0.64)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-1.066 -1.07)23.5% (1.072 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-1.573 -1.57)57.53% (1.58 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 28.88%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 44.92%
    Draw 26.19%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.407 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.483 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 11.25% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 8.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.92%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 11am
gameweek 27
Cerezo
0-3
Hiroshima

Matsuda (90+1')
Chajima (25'), Matsumoto (81'), Soteriou (90+10')
Nogami (41')
Jun 18, 2022 11am
gameweek 17
Hiroshima
2-1
Cerezo
Notsuda (79'), Vieira (85' pen.)
Shiotani (24')
Mendes (54')
Toriumi (36')
Sep 22, 2021 11am
gameweek 32
Hiroshima
0-1
Cerezo

Vieira (37')
Shindo (55')
Takagi (89'), Nishikawa (90+4'), Nishikawa (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7am
gameweek 15
Cerezo
1-2
Hiroshima
Okuno (47')
Sakamoto (76'), Matsuda (81')
Santos (50'), Asano (59')
Nov 21, 2020 7am
gameweek 30
Cerezo
0-1
Hiroshima

Matsuda (35'), Kimoto (37')
Pereira (24')
Pereira (41'), Sasaki (51'), Vieira (74')
Pereira (62')
rhs 2.0
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