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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 27, 2023 at 5am UK
Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium

Consadole
1 - 2
Nagoya Grampus

Kaneko (85')
Suga (43'), Tanaka (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junker (1'), Mateus (55')
Morishita (40'), Nagai (62'), Yonemoto (65'), Langerak (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, May 19 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, May 20 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawNagoya Grampus
35.08% (-0.942 -0.94) 26.33% (-0.412 -0.41) 38.58% (1.351 1.35)
Both teams to score 53% (1.265 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (1.639 1.64)51.69% (-1.641 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (1.406 1.41)73.47% (-1.407 -1.41)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.221 0.22)28.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (0.279 0.28)63.9% (-0.281 -0.28)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (1.538 1.54)26.17% (-1.538 -1.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (2.017 2.02)61.25% (-2.018 -2.02)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 35.08%
    Nagoya Grampus 38.58%
    Draw 26.33%
Consadole SapporoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.565 -0.57)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.319 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.495 -0.5)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.205 -0.21)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.26 0.26)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.189 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.179 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.137 0.14)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.58%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 6am
gameweek 23
Consadole
2-2
Nagoya Grampus
Fukai (31'), Aoki (90+2')
Miyazawa (57'), Nakashima (75'), Suga (89'), Tucic (90+6')
Silva (67'), Mateus (81')
Morishita (39')
Apr 10, 2022 7am
gameweek 8
Nagoya Grampus
0-2
Consadole

Fujii (82'), Silva (90')
Miyazawa (49'), Nakashima (63')
Takamine (89')
Aug 25, 2021 11am
gameweek 26
Consadole
0-2
Nagoya Grampus
Inagaki (30', 45')
Yonemoto (39')
Oct 14, 2020 11.30am
gameweek 26
Nagoya Grampus
3-0
Consadole
Yamasaki (10'), Mateus (44'), Inagaki (79')
Soma (60')

Tanaka (85'), Min-tae (90+3')
Aug 29, 2020 11am
gameweek 9
Consadole
0-0
Nagoya Grampus

Min-tae (65'), Miyazawa (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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