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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Oct 8, 2022 at 7am UK
 

Urawa
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu

Junker (40'), Koizumi (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Miyashiro (62')
Diego (15'), Shimakawa (69')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Urawa
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
59.2% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 21.94% (0.012 0.01) 18.86% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.19% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)44.81% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)67.17% (0.012 0.01)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)14.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)43.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.4% (0.025999999999996 0.03)37.59% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.63% (0.026 0.03)74.37% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 59.2%
    Sagan Tosu 18.86%
    Draw 21.94%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 10.62%
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.2%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.94%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.08% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.86%

Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-0
Urawa
Kakita (71')
Iino (88')
Aug 14, 2021 11am
Urawa
2-1
Sagan Tosu
Akimoto (36'), Esaka (84' pen.)
Yamashita (45+1')
Nakano (34'), Koizumi (62')
Mar 6, 2021 6am
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Urawa
Yamashita (62', 81')
Sento (12'), Matsuoka (23')
Oct 10, 2020 10am
Sagan Tosu
0-1
Urawa

Lopez (40'), Takahashi (72')
Yuruki (90+3')
Sekine (42')
Sep 9, 2020 11.30am
Urawa
2-2
Sagan Tosu
Koroki (48'), Muto (81')
Deng (5')
Cho (12'), Hayashi (60')
Matsuoka (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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