Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vegalta Sendai win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vegalta Sendai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Tokushima Vortis win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.