Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSV 2-2 AZ
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, January 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, January 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Ajax
Given that both teams are in strong form, Tuesday's clash is likely to be a closely fought contest, with neither team keeping a clean sheet. However, considering that AZ are at home and that the visitors do not boast the best record on the road, as well as that they have already beaten Ajax, the hosts should be favourites to advance. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
48.61% ( -0.01) | 23.01% ( 0) | 28.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
