Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax2 - 1RKC Waalwijk
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk
Despite dropping points during the run-in to the end of 2024, Ajax were excellent at home across the entire first half of the season. The hosts have dominated this fixture, winning each of the last 12 top-flight matches against RKC, and we feel they will secure another fairly comfortable victory this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.38%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 4.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
86.38% ( 0.73) | 9.41% ( -0.46) | 4.21% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
