Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mallorca in this match.