We say: Real Betis 2-1 Alaves
The last three La Liga matches between these two sides have finished level, including goalless draws in their last two outings; we are expecting this to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Real Betis' strong home record, coupled with Alaves' struggles on their travels, should mean that Pellegrini's side pick up all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Betis win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.9%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (7.52%).
0.43) 
-0.28) 
