La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves1 - 1Athletic Bilbao
We said: Alaves 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Alaves will be the fresher of the two teams, and they do not concede many at home, shipping only eight in their seven La Liga fixtures this term; Athletic have travelled back from Turkey for this one, so preparations will be difficult, but we are still expecting Valverde's side to put another victory on the board. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
30.08% ( -0.07) | 29.28% ( -0.07) | 40.63% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 43.12% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
