Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
48.3% ( 0.8) | 25.11% ( -0.11) | 26.59% ( -0.69) |
Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.07% ( 0) | 49.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( 0) | 71.92% ( -0.01) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( 0.34) | 20.7% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% ( 0.54) | 53.3% ( -0.55) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( -0.55) | 33.23% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% ( -0.6) | 69.84% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |