La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano1 - 2Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, November 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, November 5 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-3 Girona
Girona have won just one of their last eight competitive meetings with Rayo, but while we expect Saturday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, the visitors continue to demonstrate that they have the firepower to beat almost any team in the division, and we believe they will do enough to claim three more points on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
34.27% ( 0.05) | 25.82% ( 0.16) | 39.91% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
