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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Girona logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Girona

Garcia (5')
Garcia (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dovbyk (42'), Savio (65')
Gutierrez (13'), Martin (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Girona
Saturday, November 4 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-3 Girona

Girona have won just one of their last eight competitive meetings with Rayo, but while we expect Saturday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, the visitors continue to demonstrate that they have the firepower to beat almost any team in the division, and we believe they will do enough to claim three more points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
34.27% (0.053999999999995 0.05) 25.82% (0.16 0.16) 39.91% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Both teams to score 54.58% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.686 -0.69)49.61% (0.685 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.618 -0.62)71.63% (0.616 0.62)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.297 -0.3)27.7% (0.295 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.384 -0.38)63.26% (0.38200000000001 0.38)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)24.51% (0.418 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.59099999999999 -0.59)58.97% (0.589 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 34.27%
    Girona 39.91%
    Draw 25.81%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.27%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 39.91%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Girona

Rayo Vallecano
13.6%
Draw
21.0%
Girona
65.4%
81
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Girona
Isi (23'), Trejo (34')
Tsygankov (29', 52')
Dec 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Castellanos (34' pen.), Saiz (75' pen.)
Camello (2'), Isi (62')
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Round of 16
Girona
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Espinosa (26')
Juanpe (18'), Martinez (79'), Moreno (90+7')
Martinez (90+8')
Guardiola (45+1', 48')
Suarez (26'), Catena (26'), Valentin (69'), Isi (90+4'), Comesana (90+6'), Trejo (90+7')
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Girona
0-2
Rayo Vallecano

Joel Barcenas (31'), Juanpe (85')
Garcia (7'), Trejo (45+1')
Velazquez (40'), Trejo (76'), Catena (90+6')
Velazquez (56')
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Girona
Isi (6')
Trejo (52'), Bebe (90+8')
Franquesa (41'), Sylla (46')
Saiz (45+3'), Cristoforo (60'), Carlos (69'), Martinez (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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