Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
36.73% ( -0) | 29.65% ( 0.05) | 33.62% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 42.98% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% ( -0.16) | 64.06% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.77% ( -0.11) | 83.23% ( 0.11) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.62% ( -0.08) | 33.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.99% ( -0.09) | 70% ( 0.09) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% ( -0.12) | 35.48% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( -0.12) | 72.24% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65% | 0-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 33.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |