Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Leganes |
43.99% ( -0.11) | 27.44% ( 0.01) | 28.57% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 47.39% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.2% ( -0.01) | 57.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.47% ( -0.01) | 78.53% ( 0.01) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( -0.06) | 26.11% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% ( -0.09) | 61.17% ( 0.08) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% ( 0.07) | 35.86% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% ( 0.07) | 72.64% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Leganes |
1-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |