Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
51.99% ( -0.07) | 25.11% ( 0.2) | 22.91% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% ( -0.92) | 52.94% ( 0.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% ( -0.79) | 74.54% ( 0.79) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( -0.39) | 20.36% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( -0.63) | 52.77% ( 0.63) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.9% ( -0.64) | 38.1% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% ( -0.62) | 74.86% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |