Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
49.98% ( -0) | 28.39% ( -0.1) | 21.63% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.01% ( 0.37) | 64.99% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.12% ( 0.26) | 83.88% ( -0.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( 0.18) | 26.45% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.23) | 61.63% ( -0.22) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% ( 0.34) | 46.34% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% ( 0.26) | 81.98% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 16.3% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |