Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
34.83% ( 0.68) | 28.22% ( 0.14) | 36.95% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.92% ( -0.45) | 59.08% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.47% ( -0.35) | 79.53% ( 0.35) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0.22) | 32.04% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( 0.24) | 68.5% ( -0.24) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( -0.72) | 30.68% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% ( -0.86) | 66.93% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |