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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Rayo Vallecano logo

Sevilla
2 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Sow (50'), En-Nesyri (90+6')
Gudelj (36'), Sow (45+3'), Suso (67'), Navas (84'), Jordan (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Valentin (21'), Garcia (26')
Hernandez (74'), Perez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-2 Sevilla
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Mallorca
Saturday, September 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla are struggling to win at the moment, but they are not losing many, and there is certainly enough quality in the squad for the team to rise up the table in the coming weeks. Rayo will be the fresher of the two sides, but we are expecting the hosts to navigate their way to an important win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
50.82% (-0.284 -0.28) 26.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 22.88% (0.243 0.24)
Both teams to score 45.92% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06)57.36% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.82% (0.049000000000003 0.05)78.18% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)22.67% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.147 -0.15)56.31% (0.145 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38% (0.271 0.27)40.62% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79% (0.246 0.25)77.21% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 50.81%
    Rayo Vallecano 22.88%
    Draw 26.3%
SevillaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
88.0%
Draw
6.0%
Rayo Vallecano
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Bebe (46')
Iraola (74')
Delaney (63')
Ocampos (59')
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona28203578275163
2Real Madrid29196462293363
3Atletico MadridAtletico29169447232457
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Rayo Vallecano29101093331240
8Mallorca28117102834-640
9Celta Vigo28116114141039
10Real Sociedad29115132731-438
11Getafe2899102523236
12Sevilla2899103237-536
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2871293342-933
15Espanyol2878132740-1329
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2969143244-1227
18Leganes2969142846-1827
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2944211965-4616


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