Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
50.82% ( -0.28) | 26.3% ( 0.04) | 22.88% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.64% ( 0.06) | 57.36% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.82% ( 0.05) | 78.18% ( -0.05) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( -0.1) | 22.67% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.69% ( -0.15) | 56.31% ( 0.14) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.38% ( 0.27) | 40.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( 0.25) | 77.21% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |