Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.