Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 10.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.86%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.