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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Stevenage

Barnsley
0 - 1
Stevenage


McCarthy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kemp (90+2')
Phillips (56'), Goode (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Barnsley
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, January 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage

Despite the visitors' midweek victory and the hosts' setback last weekend, Barnsley should have the quality to get over the line at Oakwell and make a swift return to winning ways in their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
41.06% (0.435 0.43) 28.02% (0.305 0.31) 30.93% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-1.118 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98% (-1.285 -1.29)59.02% (1.292 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51% (-1.005 -1.01)79.49% (1.011 1.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.37 -0.37)28.25% (0.378 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.474 -0.47)63.96% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-1.21 -1.21)34.72% (1.217 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-1.302 -1.3)71.45% (1.31 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 41.05%
    Stevenage 30.92%
    Draw 28.01%
BarnsleyDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.05%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.81% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Stevenage

Barnsley
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Stevenage
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Stevenage
3-0
Barnsley
List (54', 90'), Piergianni (59')
White (61'), Phillips (78'), Freestone (82'), Thompson (86')

Durand de Gevigney (64'), O'Keeffe (79')
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Stevenage
2-1
Barnsley
Reid (45+2'), Butler (51')
List (75'), Thompson (85')
Phillips (30')
Durand de Gevigney (12'), McCart (51')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Barnsley
2-1
Stevenage
McAtee (32'), Kane (70')
Connell (66'), Kane (81'), Cotter (90+7')
Wildin (4')
Butler (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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