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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

List (34'), Roberts (54'), Reid (88')
Freestone (65'), Roberts (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lindsay (22'), Wilson (26'), McCormick (71'), Sousa (85')
Lindsay (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-3 Wycombe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite a wretched sequence of results in the lead-up to Sunday's visit to Stevenage, Rovers are undefeated in three trips to Hertfordshire, and they could eke out a draw to extend that unbeaten run in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 51.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
51.62% (0.203 0.2) 26.09% (-0.084 -0.08) 22.29% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 45.85% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (0.198 0.2)57.11% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.02% (0.158 0.16)77.98% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79% (0.17100000000001 0.17)22.21% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.37% (0.256 0.26)55.63% (-0.253 -0.25)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 51.61%
    Bristol Rovers 22.29%
    Draw 26.08%
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.61%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
25.0%
Draw
16.7%
Bristol Rovers
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
2-3
Bristol Rovers
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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